‘PTI lost 5 seats’: Journalist Fawad Ali clears misunderstanding regarding Punjab by-polls

A journalist Fawad Ali Chaudhry responded to the theory by a comprehensive comparison between the 2018 general elections and 2022 by-election results in the 20 constituencies.

Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) senior leader Yousaf Raza Gillani, some politicians and analysts said that Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) has lost five seats in the Punjab by-elections.

A journalist Fawad Ali Chaudhry responded to the theory by a comprehensive comparison between the 2018 general elections and 2022 by-election results in the 20 constituencies.

Talking to the media yesterday, PPP’s Yousaf Raza Gillani said that the process of elections decides the winner or loser while PTI has won 15 seats out of 20 as a result of Sunday’s by-elections which clearly means that PTI has lost 5. He said that Bilawal Bhutto Zardari and Asif Ali Zardari have decided to not leave the coalition government under any circumstances.

Journalist Fawad Ali Chaudhry closely observed all the constituencies and issued a complete report on 20 constituencies.

Fawad Ali Chaudhry said in a Twitter thread, “PTI has won 15 out of 20 seats in the By-Elections (2022) of Punjab. Some of the analysts are of the view that all these seats belonged to PTI in 2018 and in contrast to that, PTI lost 5 of them in 2022. Let’s do a comparison of both these elections to find the truth.”

•PP-83 (District Khushab) in 2018•

1: Independent: 68959
2: PML-N: 47684
5: PTI: 8517
(Even less than TLP)

•PP-83 (District Khushab) in 2022•

1: PTI: 50749
2: PML-N: 43587

PTI has jumped from 5th position to leading the constituency.

•PP-90 (District Bhakkar) in 2018

1. Ind: 59350
2. PML-N: 44915
3. PTI: 12994

•PP-90 (District Bhakkar) in 2022

1: PTI: 77865
2: PML-N:66513

PTI has significantly increased its vote bank to secure the seat compared to its performance in 2018.

•PP-97 (Faisalabad) in 2018•
1: Ind: 42273
2: PTI: 37932
3: PML-N: 35298

•PP-97 (Faisalabad) in 2022•

1: PTI: 67022
2: PML-N:54266

PTI has improved its position and vote bank.

•PP-125 (District Jhang) in 2018•

1: Ind: 50913
2: PTI: 38461

(PML-N did not have a separate candidate)

•PP-125 (District Jhang) in 2022•
1: PTI:82297
2: PML-N:47413

Again, PTI secures it with a significant margin.

•PP-127 (District Jhang) in 2018•

1: Independent: 27399
2: PTI: 26609

•PP-127 (District Jhang) in 2022•
1: PTI: 71648
2: PML-N:47413

Another seat was directly won by PTI.

•PP-140 (District Sheikhupura) in 2018•

1: PTI: 32862
2: Ind: 26029

PP-140 (District Sheikhupura) in 2022•

1: PTI: 50166
2: PML-N: 32105

This one has been retained by PTI.

•PP-158 (District Lahore) in 2018•

1: PTI: 52299
2: PML-N:45228

It should be noted that this was won by senior leader Aleem Khan who parted ways in 2022.

•PP-158 (District Lahore) in 2022•

1: PTI: 37463
2: PML-N: 31906

PTI retained this seat.

•PP-167 (District Lahore) in 2018•

1: PTI: 40704
2: PML-N: 38463

•PP-167 (District Lahore) in 2022•

1: PTI: 40511
2: PML-N:26473

The winning candidate in 2018, Nazir Chohan lost on the ticket of PML-N in 2022.

•PP-168 (Lahore) in 2018•

1: PML-N:34114
2: PTI:14940

•PP-168 (Lahore) in 2018-By Elections•

Asad Khokhar won the elections on PTI’s ticket.

•2022•

1: PML-N:26169
2: PTI:15767

Asad Khokhar won once again but this time on PML-N’s ticket.

•PP-170 (Lahore) in 2018•

1: PTI: 25180
2: PML-N: 20730

•PP-170 (Lahore) in 2022•
1: PTI: 24688
2: PML-N: 17519

PTI retains the seat.

•PP-202 (Sahiwal) in 2018•

1: PTI: 57190
2: PML-N: 44196

•PP-202 (Sahiwal) in 2022•

1: PTI: 62298
2: 59191

PTI retained the seat and beat their own winning candidate from 2018.

•PP-217 (Multan) in 2018

1: Ind: 35294
2: PTI: 31716

•PP-217 (Multan) in 2022

1: PTI: 47349
2: PML-N: 40425

PTI directly won the seat compared to relying on the same winning independent candidate from 2018.

•PP-224 (Lodhran) in 2018•

1: PTI-60482
2: PML-N: 48211

•PP-224 (Lodhran) in 2022•

1: PTI: 69881
2: PML-N: 56214

PTI beat their own winning candidate from 2018.

•PP-228 (Lodhran) in 2018

1: PTI: 43169
2: PML-N: 39731

•PP-228 (Lodhran) in 2022•
1: Ind:45020
2: PTI: 38338

It should be noted that the winning independent candidate lost on PML-Ns ticket in 2018.

Will have to see whether he joins PTI or not.

•PP-237 (Bahawalnagar) in 2018

1: Ind: 56411
2: PTI: 47630

•PP-237 (Bahawalnagar) in 2022•

1: PML-N: 66881
2: PTI: 31148

The same candidate has won.

•PP-272 (Muzaffargarh) in 2018•

1:PTI:27752
2:PML-N:18853

•PP-272 (Muzaffargarh) in 2022•

1: PTI: 46069
2: PML-N: 36401

•PP-273 (Muzaffargarh) in 2018•

1: PTI: 36009
2: Ind: 24269

•PP-273 (Muzaffargarh) in 2022•

1: PML-N: 59679
2: PTI: 51232

The same candidate retained the seat.

•PP-282 (Layyah) in 2018•

1: Ind: 37607
2: PTI: 26992

•PP-282 (Layyah) in 2022•
1:PTI: 57118
2: PML-N: 38758

PTI directly won the seat.

•PP-288 (DG Khan) in 2018•
1: Ind: 39396
2: PTI: 30132

•PP-288 (DG Khan) in 2022•
1: PTI: 58166
2: PML-N: 32212

•PP-7 (Rawalpindi) in 2018•

1: Ind: 44287
2: PML-N:42382
3: PTI: 40332

•PP-7 (Rawalpindi) in 2022•
1: PML-N: 68906
2: PTI: 68857

PML-N apparently won by 49 votes but reportedly, PTI will push for recounting as the margin is too tight and the result was delayed.

He said that the PTI directly won 8 new seats while retaining 7 of their seats, whereas, PML-N won 4 out of which one was lost in the by-elections. One from Rawalpindi is uncertain. 3rd is lost by PTI while 4th is won by an independent candidate.

Calling it a loss of PTI would be untrue as they have managed to bag an extra 8 seats for which they had to rely on independent candidates in 2018.

For PML-N, it is worrisome because most of their seats were in alliance with the parties part of the Pakistan Democratic Movement.

 

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